Libertad 2-1 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay Super Cup, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.94
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.59
Over 2.5
30%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
57%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
31%
+12.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-8.1pp
70%
Under 2.5
59%
+11.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
41%
-11.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.6pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.00 xG 0.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
33 Passes 29
75% Pass Accuracy 63%
1 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
11.08.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 4-0 HT 3-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
06.06.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
31.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
26.11.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
28.09.2023 Libertad Libertad 4-0 HT 3-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
2-1
AWAY Club Olimpia
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad edged past Club Olimpia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Libertad had 45% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 55%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Libertad and 1.17 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Club Olimpia?

Libertad 2-1 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay Super Cup on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Libertad 43%, draw 27%, Club Olimpia 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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