Libertad 2-1 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.67/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.12
+37% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.00 xG 0.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
33 Passes 29
75% Pass Accuracy 63%
1 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.01.2025 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PARSK
21.10.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
11.08.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 4-0 HT 3-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
06.06.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
31.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
26.11.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
2-1
AWAY Club Olimpia
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad nicked a narrow win over Club Olimpia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Libertad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Libertad had 55% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 45%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Libertad and 1.33 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Club Olimpia?

Libertad 2-1 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Libertad 40%, draw 28%, Club Olimpia 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →