Krasnodar vs Makhachkala Prediction — Model Probabilities
Krasnodar v Makhachkala — Team-Based Signals
Krasnodar vs Makhachkala Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Krasnodar 2-1 Makhachkala — Actual Match Statistics
Krasnodar squeezed past Makhachkala 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 46%. At 1.75 (~57%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
The match data tells the story: Krasnodar had 67% of the ball to Makhachkala's 33%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.72 to 1.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Krasnodar's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Krasnodar and 0.67 for Makhachkala.
Krasnodar vs Makhachkala Result & Final Score
Krasnodar 2-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Krasnodar vs Makhachkala Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 68%, draw 18%, Makhachkala 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.