Makhachkala 0-2 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
4.33
6+ Goals
11%
21.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 32% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.53
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
7%
15.95
X/1
10%
8.86
X/2
13%
4.21
X/X
14%
4.37
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.4
2/X
10%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
0.70/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.22
-39% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
16.7 Crosses 14.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Krasnodar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.82 xG 1.84
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
174 Passes 314
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.04.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 2-3 HT 1-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
28.07.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
0-2
AWAY Krasnodar
0.66 xG 0.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
227 Passes 338
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar got the better of Makhachkala 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Makhachkala had 45% of the ball to Krasnodar's 55%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.66 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Makhachkala and 1.50 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Krasnodar?

Makhachkala 0-2 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 23%, draw 31%, Krasnodar 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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