Lokomotiv Moscow 3-0 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.66
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.78
X/2
11%
5.92
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
16%
3.8
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 39%
+14% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +7%
1.22/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.41
+16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
13.8 Crosses 16.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.60 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 405
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
30.07.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
19.05.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 HT 2-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
18.08.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
13.04.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-3 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
05.08.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
3-0
AWAY CSKA Moskova
2.43 xG 0.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
25 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
285 Passes 407
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
42 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow ran out comfortable winners over CSKA Moskova 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Lokomotiv Moscow made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 43% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 57%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 2.43 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 1.83 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moskova?

Lokomotiv Moscow 3-0 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 39%, draw 28%, CSKA Moskova 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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