CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Moskova v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
1-1
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
0-1
HT 0-1
CSKA Moskova
RUS
CSKA Moskova 2-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA Moskova edged past Lokomotiv Moscow 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CSKA Moskova had 54% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 46%, shots finished 13-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
CSKA Moskova 2-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Cup on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 43%, draw 31%, Lokomotiv Moscow 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.