Rostov 0-2 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 33% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
26%
+12.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
49%
-12.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.3pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 53%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.19/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.37
+15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.86 xG 2.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
218 Passes 304
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-2 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUSK
06.04.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-3 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
27.11.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
05.11.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
05.10.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.04.2024 Rostov Rostov 1-5 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-2
AWAY Spartak Moskova
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova got the better of Rostov 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Spartak Moskova found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rostov had 45% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 55%, shots finished 3-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rostov and 2.17 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Spartak Moskova?

Rostov 0-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rostov 38%, draw 26%, Spartak Moskova 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rostov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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