Spartak Moskova 1-2 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +135% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rostov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.12 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
304 Passes 218
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-3 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
27.11.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
05.11.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
05.10.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.04.2024 Rostov Rostov 1-5 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
07.02.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-3 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
1-2
AWAY Rostov
52% Ball Possession 48%
33 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov nicked a narrow win over Spartak Moskova 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 52% of the ball to Rostov's 48%, shots finished 33-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.17 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Rostov?

Spartak Moskova 1-2 Rostov in the Russia - Super Cup on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 46%, draw 27%, Rostov 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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