Rostov 0-3 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 34% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.35
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
15%
6.37
X/2
10%
5.35
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
21%
3.32
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.3pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -26%
1.62/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.32
+21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
20.3 Crosses 19.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
275 Passes 307
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 26
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
05.11.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
05.10.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.04.2024 Rostov Rostov 1-5 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
07.02.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-3 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov HAZ
12.11.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-3
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.89 xG 2.14
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 4
163 Passes 387
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova swept aside Rostov 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Spartak Moskova found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Rostov had 36% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 64%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 0.89 to 2.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rostov and 1.83 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Spartak Moskova?

Rostov 0-3 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rostov 36%, draw 27%, Spartak Moskova 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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