CSKA Moskova 3-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

CSKA Moskova
3-1 HT 1-1
Dinamo Moscow
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

CSKA Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 31% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.18
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
17%
5.24
X/2
6%
6.62
X/X
12%
4.84
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
21%
4.57
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CSKA Moskova v Dinamo Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.18/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.42
-21% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
16.1 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

CSKA Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.78 xG 1.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 Passes 309
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
06.10.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
25.11.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-3 HT 2-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
19.08.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
13.11.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
08.10.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS

CSKA Moskova 3-1 Dinamo Moscow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
3-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.62 xG 1.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
287 Passes 326
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova got the better of Dinamo Moscow 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; CSKA Moskova found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 46% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 54%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.62 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.67 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

CSKA Moskova 3-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 39%, draw 28%, Dinamo Moscow 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
6 Apr 2025
14:00 Makhachkala vs Khimki Analysis →
16:30 Rostov vs Spartak Moskova Analysis →