Makhachkala 4-1 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.88
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
19%
4.73
X/2
9%
7.29
X/X
18%
4.46
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.61
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.39/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.67
-9% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
249 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
14.0 Crosses 15.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Khimki
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.65 xG 3.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
188 Passes 399
63% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Khimki Khimki 1-1 HT 0-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
08.05.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-0 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS1
28.10.2023 Khimki Khimki 1-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
4-1
AWAY Khimki
2.50 xG 0.71
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 9
170 Passes 329
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala cruised past Khimki 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Makhachkala as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Makhachkala had 38% of the ball to Khimki's 62%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.50 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Makhachkala and 0.67 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Khimki?

Makhachkala 4-1 Khimki in the Russia - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 44%, draw 29%, Khimki 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Makhachkala), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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