Khimki 1-1 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.91
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
12%
7.0
X/X
11%
3.78
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
17%
6.03
2/X
10%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+10.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+21% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.9 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Makhachkala
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.05.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-0 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS1
28.10.2023 Khimki Khimki 1-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
1-1
AWAY Makhachkala
3.04 xG 0.65
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
399 Passes 188
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki and Makhachkala shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Khimki had 63% of the ball to Makhachkala's 37%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 3.04 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Khimki and 0.50 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Makhachkala?

Khimki 1-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Khimki 38%, draw 27%, Makhachkala 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Khimki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khimki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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