Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 Oct 2025

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0-1 HT 0-0
Akron
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akron Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.73
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.61
X/2
11%
5.77
X/X
13%
4.56
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.89
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · X/1 at 5.61 — our 20% vs market 13.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Akron — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.13/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.30
+9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
15.5 Crosses 24.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akron Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Akron
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 2.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
326 Passes 280
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 45
21 Crosses 40
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
01.03.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 Akron Akron RUS
05.10.2024 Akron Akron 2-2 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron nicked a narrow win over Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Akron found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pari Nizhny Novgorod had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 1.50 for Akron.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akron?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pari Nizhny Novgorod win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 39%, draw 28%, Akron 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pari Nizhny Novgorod), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pari Nizhny Novgorod) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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