Lokomotiv Moscow 0-0 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 42%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.47/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.50
+27% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +76%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.70 xG 1.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
286 Passes 416
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
19.05.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-2 HT 2-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
18.08.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
13.04.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-3 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
05.08.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
23.04.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
0-0
AWAY CSKA Moskova
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow and CSKA Moskova fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 44% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 56%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 2.00 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moskova?

Lokomotiv Moscow 0-0 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 35%, draw 30%, CSKA Moskova 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5
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