Baltika Kaliningrad 3-0 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+2.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-5.0pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Akron
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.62 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
193 Passes 270
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Akron Akron 0-2 HT 0-2 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
29.07.2025 Akron Akron 2-1 HT 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
19.03.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUS1
13.11.2021 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUS1
31.07.2021 Akron Akron 0-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
05.12.2020 Akron Akron 0-2 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
3-0
AWAY Akron
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad cruised past Akron 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baltika Kaliningrad as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 58% of the ball to Akron's 42%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 0.50 for Akron.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron?

Baltika Kaliningrad 3-0 Akron in the Russia - Cup on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 56%, draw 20%, Akron 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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