Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 1 Oct 2025

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-2 HT 1-1
Spartak Moskova
📅01/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
60%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.64/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.40
-25% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +77%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.32 xG 1.44
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
186 Passes 516
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
26.08.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 4-0 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
07.12.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
27.10.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
05.05.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
22.10.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova squeezed past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.33 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moskova?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 19%, draw 21%, Spartak Moskova 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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