Celje 5-0 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
74%
1.3
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
10%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
21%
6.27
2-3
41%
2.08
4-5
26%
2.37
6+
12%
4.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij The Market 14%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
2.49/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.28
+14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aluminij
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2026 Aluminij Aluminij 2-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
01.11.2025 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
17.08.2025 Aluminij Aluminij 2-3 HT 2-0 Celje Celje SLVN
30.03.2024 Celje Celje 2-2 HT 1-2 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
09.12.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 1-3 HT 0-2 Celje Celje SLVN
27.09.2023 Celje Celje 1-3 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
5-0
AWAY Aluminij
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Celje vs Aluminij
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Celje swept aside Aluminij 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

The match data tells the story: possession split 61% to 39% in Celje's favour, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Celje against 1.83 for Aluminij.

Celje vs Aluminij Result & Final Score

Celje 5-0 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Celje vs Aluminij Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Celje 74%, draw 16%, Aluminij 10%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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