Central Espanol 3-1 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Espanol EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 31%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.35
-24% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Espanol
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Cerro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2022 Cerro Cerro 2-0 HT 2-0 Central Espanol Central Espanol URU2
29.09.2021 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Central Espanol Central Espanol URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Espanol
3-1
AWAY Cerro
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Central Espanol vs Cerro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Central Espanol beat Cerro 3-1 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26 Apr 2026. Half-time: 2-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Central Espanol had 45% of the ball to Cerro's 55%, shots finished 7-9.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cerro lead the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Central Espanol and 1.00 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Central Espanol vs Cerro?

Central Espanol 3-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Espanol vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Espanol win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Central Espanol 42%, draw 26%, Cerro 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Espanol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Espanol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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