Nacional de Football vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Danubio — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nacional de Football 1-2 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics
Danubio squeezed past Nacional de Football 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Nacional de Football carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 44% of the ball to Danubio's 56%, shots finished 14-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.33 for Danubio.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Danubio?
Nacional de Football 1-2 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Danubio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 56%, draw 25%, Danubio 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.