Cerro Largo 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
46%
Away Win
46%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 49%
+18% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +25%
1.28/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.83
+23% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.47 xG 0.94
49% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 Passes 176
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
28.04.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
05.10.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
29.03.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-2 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
08.03.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo CON CSA
25.11.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo squeezed past Cerro Largo 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.33 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Cerro Largo 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 27%, draw 27%, Racing Club Montevideo 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
26 Apr 2026
01:00 Nacional de Football vs Danubio Analysis →
16:00 Central Espanol vs Cerro Analysis →