Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.98/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.03
-18% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.94 xG 0.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
176 Passes 282
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
29.03.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-2 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
08.03.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo CON CSA
25.11.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
15.07.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
22.04.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-1 HT 2-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1-1
AWAY Cerro Largo
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo and Cerro Largo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 50% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 50%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 0.67 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?

Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 36%, draw 32%, Cerro Largo 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
28 Apr 2025
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