Deportivo Tachira 2-1 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -4%
0.96/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.98
+0% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
14.6 Crosses 21.8
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Carabobo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.24
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
362 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.11.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-2 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
27.10.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
05.10.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 3-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
23.05.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 2-4 HT 1-2 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
18.05.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
28.04.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
2-1
AWAY Carabobo
1.19 xG 1.35
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
217 Passes 381
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira nicked a narrow win over Carabobo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Deportivo Tachira made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 39% of the ball to Carabobo's 61%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.19 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 0.83 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Carabobo?

Deportivo Tachira 2-1 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 39%, draw 30%, Carabobo 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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