Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.38/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.94
-2% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +95%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
21.3 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Carabobo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.09 xG 0.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 274
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
09.12.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
14.10.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
15.04.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
18.09.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
26.02.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
1-0
AWAY Carabobo
1.45 xG 0.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 299
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira nicked a narrow win over Carabobo 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 50% of the ball to Carabobo's 50%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.45 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 0.33 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Carabobo?

Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 46%, draw 30%, Carabobo 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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