Metropolitanos 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Stats & Model Review (Venezuela - Premier League, 18 May 2025)

Metropolitanos

1-1 HT 1-1

Academia Puerto Cabello

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗

Venezuela - Premier League – 2025

Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

38%

2.25

Draw

27%

3.11

Away

35%

2.94

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57%

1.68

Over 2.5

43%

2.07

Both Teams to Score

Yes

44%

1.82

56%

1.88

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

34%

2-3 Goals

40%

4-5 Goals

18%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

13%

1/2

1/X

X/1

18%

X/2

15%

X/X

14%

2/1

2/2

12%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

38%

Home Win

41%

-3.1pp

27%

Draw

29%

-1.2pp

35%

Away Win

30%

+4.4pp

57%

Under 2.5

56%

+1.7pp

43%

Over 2.5

44%

-1.7pp

44%

BTTS Yes

51%

-6.6pp

56%

BTTS No

49%

+6.6pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metropolitanos v Academia Puerto Cabello — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 44%

Head to Head

AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 34%

-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%

1.23/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.90

-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +5%

50% Ball Possession 50%

12 Total Shots 10

4 Shots on Target 4

4 Corners 5

290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%

21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8

22.6 Crosses 18.0

2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Metropolitanos

3W-1D-2L

AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello

1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33

1.00 xG 1.27

51% Ball Possession 49%

12 Total Shots 11

5 Shots on Target 3

6 Corners 4

227 Passes 280

70% Pass Accuracy 77%

21 Box Touches 19

21 Crosses 23

3 Yellow Cards 3

The Meetings

25.01.2025 Metropolitanos

2-1 HT 1-1

Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

13.10.2024 Metropolitanos

1-1

Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

16.04.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello

2-3 HT 0-1

Metropolitanos VEN

03.09.2023 Metropolitanos

2-1 HT 0-1

Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

04.03.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello

1-0 HT 1-0

Metropolitanos VEN

20.06.2022 Metropolitanos

0-2 HT 0-1

Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

Metropolitanos 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Metropolitanos

1-1

AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello

1.15 xG 1.36

47% Ball Possession 53%

15 Total Shots 15

5 Shots on Target 3

4 Corners 8

277 Passes 335

78% Pass Accuracy 82%

27 Box Touches 26

21 Crosses 20

1 Yellow Cards 3

POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos and Academia Puerto Cabello couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 47% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 53%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.15 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.33 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Metropolitanos 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 38%, draw 27%, Academia Puerto Cabello 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Metropolitanos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No

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VEN More Venezuela - Premier League

18 May 2025

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Metropolitanos 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 May 2025

Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello Prediction — Model Probabilities

Metropolitanos v Academia Puerto Cabello — Team-Based Signals

Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

Metropolitanos 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Actual Match Statistics

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello?