Metropolitanos 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.36/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.03
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.3 Crosses 20.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
205 Passes 256
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
16.04.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-3 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
03.09.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
04.03.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
20.06.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
30.05.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
2-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.90 xG 0.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos nicked a narrow win over Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Metropolitanos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 47% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 53%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.90 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.17 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Metropolitanos 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 40%, draw 28%, Academia Puerto Cabello 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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