Monagas 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.6pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
0.83/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.30
-13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.5 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.86 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 Passes 313
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
25.07.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
11.02.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
06.10.2023 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
05.02.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
09.07.2022 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
1-1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.57 xG 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
244 Passes 346
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas and Deportivo La Guaira couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Monagas had 46% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 54%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.57 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Monagas and 1.33 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Monagas 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Monagas 36%, draw 34%, Deportivo La Guaira 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monagas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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