Monagas 0-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 Nov 2024

Monagas
0-2 HT 0-1
Deportivo La Guaira
📅18/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monagas v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
0.85/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.36
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.4 Crosses 17.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
278 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.07.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
11.02.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
06.10.2023 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
05.02.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
09.07.2022 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
15.05.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-5 HT 1-2 Monagas Monagas VEN

Monagas 0-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
0-2
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.71 xG 1.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 9
228 Passes 198
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira saw off Monagas 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Deportivo La Guaira made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Monagas had 56% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 44%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.71 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monagas and 1.17 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Monagas 0-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Monagas 36%, draw 29%, Deportivo La Guaira 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monagas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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