Estudiantes De Merida 0-3 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
4.48
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.75
No
62%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
19%
+16.0pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-11.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
53%
-15.4pp
62%
BTTS No
47%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 61%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.83/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.51
-6% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +138% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.3 Crosses 19.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Carabobo
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.78 xG 1.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 Passes 281
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
24.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
22.06.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
21.05.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
09.09.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
11.03.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0-3
AWAY Carabobo
0.59 xG 2.23
61% Ball Possession 39%
4 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 2
400 Passes 284
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo cruised past Estudiantes De Merida 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 61% of the ball to Carabobo's 39%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.59 to 2.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 0.67 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo?

Estudiantes De Merida 0-3 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 35%, draw 19%, Carabobo 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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