Monagas 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-10.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 62%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+17% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
288 Passes 357
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 17
7 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2026 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas CSA
05.11.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 3-2 HT 2-2 Monagas Monagas VEN
22.10.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-2 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
07.08.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-3 HT 1-2 Monagas Monagas VENK
04.08.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
29.07.2025 Monagas Monagas 2-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
1-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.55 xG 1.31
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
198 Passes 403
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 25
5 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas and Academia Puerto Cabello couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Puerto Cabello at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Monagas had 36% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 64%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.55 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monagas and 1.33 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Monagas 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monagas 25%, draw 26%, Academia Puerto Cabello 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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