Monagas 1-2 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
1.01/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.95
+8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.8 Crosses 17.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 1.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
242 Passes 244
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
07.08.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-3 HT 1-2 Monagas Monagas VENK
04.08.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
29.07.2025 Monagas Monagas 2-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VENK
24.02.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
28.09.2024 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
01.04.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
1-2
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
2.07 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
284 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello nicked a narrow win over Monagas 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Monagas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monagas had 49% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 51%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 2.07 to 1.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Monagas.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monagas and 1.17 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Monagas 1-2 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Monagas 44%, draw 27%, Academia Puerto Cabello 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monagas), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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