Monagas 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.14/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.84
+5% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.5 Crosses 18.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
238 Passes 239
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 5
29.07.2025 Monagas Monagas 2-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VENK
24.02.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
28.09.2024 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
01.04.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
23.07.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
24.04.2023 Monagas Monagas 3-2 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
1-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.52 xG 0.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
355 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas and Academia Puerto Cabello couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Monagas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Monagas had 53% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 47%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.52 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monagas and 1.33 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Monagas 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monagas 41%, draw 31%, Academia Puerto Cabello 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monagas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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