UCV 2-0 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -13%
1.56/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.25
-6% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
19.9 Crosses 13.4
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
280 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-3 HT 1-2 UCV UCV VEN
11.05.2025 UCV UCV 2-2 HT 1-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
23.02.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
22.09.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
23.03.2024 UCV UCV 1-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
28.07.2023 UCV UCV 0-1 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
2-0
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.01 xG 1.60
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
123 Passes 353
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH UCV vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV got the better of Portuguesa FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had UCV as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UCV had 31% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 69%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.01 to 1.60 — on chances, Portuguesa FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UCV and 0.83 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of UCV vs Portuguesa FC?

UCV 2-0 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UCV 48%, draw 27%, Portuguesa FC 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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