Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
66%
+3.0pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.1pp
12%
Away Win
12%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -17%
1.65/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.46
+12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
19.9 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zamora
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 0.56
60% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
417 Passes 238
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
26.04.2025 Zamora Zamora 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
23.09.2024 Zamora Zamora 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
24.03.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
20.08.2023 Zamora Zamora 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
19.03.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1-1
AWAY Zamora
0.35 xG 1.15
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
332 Passes 224
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira and Zamora shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo La Guaira at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 59% of the ball to Zamora's 41%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.35 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.67 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora?

Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 69%, draw 18%, Zamora 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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