Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+1.5pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.3pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.73/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.48
+13% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
20.7 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zamora
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 Passes 241
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Zamora Zamora 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
23.09.2024 Zamora Zamora 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
24.03.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
20.08.2023 Zamora Zamora 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
19.03.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
17.06.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-3 HT 2-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2-0
AWAY Zamora
0.85 xG 0.14
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
498 Passes 221
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 6
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira saw off Zamora 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 65% of the ball to Zamora's 35%, shots finished 10-2, expected goals 0.85 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.00 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora?

Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 64%, draw 20%, Zamora 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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