Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 Yaracuyanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.32
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
12%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
20%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
71%
-0.3pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.0pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Yaracuyanos EU Bookmakers 14%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
2.59/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.56
+18% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 73%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.4
19.3 Crosses 7.9
4.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Yaracuyanos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.38 xG 1.19
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 1
168 Passes 370
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2025 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
15.11.2020 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0-2
AWAY Yaracuyanos
0.26 xG 0.34
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
312 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Yaracuyanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yaracuyanos got the better of Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Estudiantes De Merida carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 57% of the ball to Yaracuyanos's 43%, shots finished 4-8, expected goals 0.26 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yaracuyanos led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.50 for Yaracuyanos.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Yaracuyanos?

Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 Yaracuyanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Yaracuyanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 71%, draw 17%, Yaracuyanos 12%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
5 Oct 2025
02:00 Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora Analysis →
02:00 Deportivo Tachira vs Carabobo Analysis →
22:30 Rayo Zuliano vs Metropolitanos Analysis →
22:30 Portuguesa FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello Analysis →
22:30 Caracas FC vs UCV Analysis →
22:30 Academia Anzoátegui vs Monagas Analysis →