Caracas FC 1-5 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.82/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.65
-35% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
15.3 Crosses 27.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UCV
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.59 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
252 Passes 312
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.04.2025 UCV UCV 1-3 HT 0-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
14.10.2024 UCV UCV 1-3 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
15.04.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-2 HT 2-2 UCV UCV VEN
17.09.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
26.02.2023 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
19.06.2022 UCV UCV 1-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
1-5
AWAY UCV
2.45 xG 3.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
253 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV cruised past Caracas FC 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had UCV as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Caracas FC had 42% of the ball to UCV's 58%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 2.45 to 3.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Caracas FC and 0.83 for UCV.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs UCV?

Caracas FC 1-5 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 33%, draw 25%, UCV 42%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✓ BTTS Yes
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