Academia Puerto Cabello 3-2 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -20%
1.66/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.58
-5% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
26.1 Crosses 16.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Monagas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
291 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-2 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
07.08.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-3 HT 1-2 Monagas Monagas VENK
04.08.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
29.07.2025 Monagas Monagas 2-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VENK
24.02.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
28.09.2024 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
3-2
AWAY Monagas
1.26 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
351 Passes 323
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 5
13 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello nicked a narrow win over Monagas 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Academia Puerto Cabello as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 51% of the ball to Monagas's 49%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.26 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.50 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas?

Academia Puerto Cabello 3-2 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 58%, draw 25%, Monagas 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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