IK Oddevold 1-2 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 26 May 2024

IK Oddevold
1-2 HT 1-2
Östersunds FK
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

IK Oddevold vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 36% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.05
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
19%
4.54
X/2
9%
6.56
X/X
19%
4.13
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.12
2/X
4%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Oddevold v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.04
-36% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH IK Oddevold vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK squeezed past IK Oddevold 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was IK Oddevold at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of IK Oddevold vs Östersunds FK?

IK Oddevold 1-2 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Oddevold vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Oddevold win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IK Oddevold 45%, draw 29%, Östersunds FK 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IK Oddevold) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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