Skövde AIK 1-2 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
54%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
48%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
7%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 24% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
10.3
1/2
6%
22.3
1/X
7%
18.95
X/1
4%
12.85
X/2
12%
3.55
X/X
12%
6.17
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
36%
1.8
2/X
4%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+7.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-10.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 69%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.46/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.61
-54% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -58%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skövde AIK
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Östers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 1-2 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
14.07.2023 Östers Östers 2-1 HT 1-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
09.08.2022 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
02.07.2022 Östers Östers 2-3 HT 1-2 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
23.08.2018 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 0-3 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇK
POST-MATCH Skövde AIK vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers squeezed past Skövde AIK 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Östers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Östers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Skövde AIK and 1.80 for Östers.

What was the final score of Skövde AIK vs Östers?

Skövde AIK 1-2 Östers in the Sweden - Superettan on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skövde AIK vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Skövde AIK 23%, draw 23%, Östers 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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