Gefle 3-1 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.34
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
12%
5.01
X/2
13%
5.94
X/X
11%
4.52
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
14%
4.24
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.62/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.35
+9% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Örebro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Gefle Gefle 1-2 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇK
19.08.2023 Gefle Gefle 2-1 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
04.06.2023 Örebro Örebro 2-0 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
26.09.2016 Örebro Örebro 2-2 HT 2-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
19.05.2016 Gefle Gefle 0-4 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
19.10.2015 Gefle Gefle 2-2 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
3-1
AWAY Örebro
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gefle saw off Örebro 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Gefle found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gefle had 38% of the ball to Örebro's 62%, shots finished 8-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örebro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gefle and 2.17 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Örebro?

Gefle 3-1 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gefle 39%, draw 26%, Örebro 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gefle), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gefle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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