Junior 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.9pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.44/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.32
+13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
16.5 Crosses 13.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.20 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
22.01.2024 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
06.02.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
12.06.2022 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
01.06.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
1-0
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.11 xG 0.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
326 Passes 261
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 11
8 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Junior vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior squeezed past Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Junior had 53% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 47%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.11 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Junior and 0.50 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Junior vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Junior 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Junior 48%, draw 29%, Atletico Bucaramanga 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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