Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.93/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.21
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
15.1 Crosses 13.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.91 xG 1.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
350 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
21.04.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
23.07.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
30.01.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-3 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
24.11.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 2-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
15.11.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2-2
AWAY Millonarios
1.58 xG 1.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
321 Passes 204
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 36
21 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira and Millonarios couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 60% of the ball to Millonarios's 40%, shots finished 23-16, expected goals 1.58 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.50 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios?

Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 39%, draw 29%, Millonarios 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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