Fortaleza 0-2 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 26 May 2025

Fortaleza
0-2 HT 0-2
Cruzeiro
📅26/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.99
No
64%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
5.1
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 38% vs market 35.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.31
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
15%
4.85
X/2
9%
6.59
X/X
19%
3.83
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
13%
5.29
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
46%
-10.1pp
64%
BTTS No
54%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortaleza v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.44/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.22
+15% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +105%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
15.7 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 0.84
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
233 Passes 418
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.08.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-2 HT 1-2 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
18.04.2024 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-1 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
19.11.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
22.06.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
27.10.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
13.06.2019 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-1 HT 2-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1

Fortaleza 0-2 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
0-2
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.72 xG 2.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
361 Passes 383
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro saw off Fortaleza 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Fortaleza had 49% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 51%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.72 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortaleza and 0.83 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro?

Fortaleza 0-2 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 43%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortaleza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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