Vanersborgs IF 1-0 Stenungsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.3pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 54%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.99/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.05
+29% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
287 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Stenungsund
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.06.2026 Stenungsund Stenungsund 5-0 HT 2-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
06.04.2024 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
12.09.2020 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-5 HT 0-2 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs IF
1-0
AWAY Stenungsund
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Stenungsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF squeezed past Stenungsund 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stenungsund at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vanersborgs IF had 50% of the ball to Stenungsund's 50%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stenungsund led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vanersborgs IF and 2.33 for Stenungsund.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Stenungsund?

Vanersborgs IF 1-0 Stenungsund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Stenungsund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenungsund win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 32%, draw 23%, Stenungsund 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stenungsund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
26 Jun 2026
20:00 Kungsangen vs Skiljebo SK Analysis →
20:00 Onsala vs Landvetter IS Analysis →
20:30 Dalstorps IF vs Lindome GIF Analysis →
20:30 Skara vs Herrestads Analysis →
20:30 IFK Berga vs Växjö Norra Analysis →