Nublense 4-2 Universidad Concepcion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.67
Over
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
1.61/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.22
+23% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.9 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.52 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
108 Passes 201
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2026 Nublense Nublense 2-1 HT 1-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİLİLK
23.05.2026 Nublense Nublense 2-2 HT 2-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
31.03.2026 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 0-2 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİLK
06.04.2025 Nublense Nublense 2-0 HT 1-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİLİK
01.02.2025 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 2-3 HT 2-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİK
13.03.2015 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 2-2 HT 2-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
4-2
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Universidad Concepcion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense beat Universidad Concepcion 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nublense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nublense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nublense and 1.17 for Universidad Concepcion.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Universidad Concepcion?

Nublense 4-2 Universidad Concepcion in the Chile - Cup on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Universidad Concepcion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nublense 41%, draw 31%, Universidad Concepcion 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nublense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nublense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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