Lilleström 2-3 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒13:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.0pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors edged past Lilleström 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lilleström at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Degerfors?

Lilleström 2-3 Degerfors in the Friendlies on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 53%, draw 26%, Degerfors 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lilleström), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lilleström) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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