MTK Budapest 4-2 Kazincbarcika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazincbarcika EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-48% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
398 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Kazincbarcika
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.33 xG 2.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
482 Passes 202
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
40 Box Touches 25
32 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2026 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-2 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC
03.10.2025 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 3-1 HT 3-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
27.11.2022 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 3-3 HT 2-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC2
10.02.2021 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-4 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MACK
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest got the better of Kazincbarcika 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MTK Budapest as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kazincbarcika led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for MTK Budapest and 2.50 for Kazincbarcika.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcika?

MTK Budapest 4-2 Kazincbarcika in the Friendlies on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcika?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 57%, draw 23%, Kazincbarcika 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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