Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 33%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.84/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+15% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2026 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
26.04.2026 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-2 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
02.12.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
04.08.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-5 HT 0-2 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
09.03.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
23.09.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
2-1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv squeezed past Arda Kardzhali 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 59% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 41%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.50 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Arda Kardzhali in the Friendlies on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 42%, draw 29%, Arda Kardzhali 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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