Arda Kardzhali 0-2 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.17/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.13
+17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
04.08.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-5 HT 0-2 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
09.03.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
23.09.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
27.05.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
11.05.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0-2
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv got the better of Arda Kardzhali 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Botev Plovdiv found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 55% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 45%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 0.33 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv?

Arda Kardzhali 0-2 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 37%, draw 28%, Botev Plovdiv 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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