Botev Plovdiv 0-5 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 25%
-21% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
0.69/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.88
-47% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
23.09.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
27.05.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
11.05.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
01.12.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-2 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
04.08.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0-5
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali cruised past Botev Plovdiv 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Botev Plovdiv at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 30% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 70%, shots finished 6-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.17 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Botev Plovdiv 0-5 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 49%, draw 26%, Arda Kardzhali 26%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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4 Aug 2025
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